Posted by: SarsSmarz
on November 12, 2003 05:11 AM
Controversial title, simply meaning that desktop people may experience the next big job crash. All of these tech cycles had their boom and crash: rails, ships, aviation, manufacturing, telecom, retail.
If you looked at any industry where things hadn't changed for 30 years, they would be next (I remember looking at a factory 30 years ago, where one person's job was just to put a single piece of metal in a stamping machine all day). For the general office worker, things haven't changed since the 50's! MS enjoyed the typical boom, where every single desktop had to have a computer, much like every stagecoach trail had to have a railway. Right now, Dilbert shows there is considerable over-capacity in the desktop biz.
Bureaucracy cannot change from within, and luckily for the 'general knowledge worker', MS didn't add a scrap of productivity, but change is coming. It will start with whole countries, such as Finland, streamlining legal requirements, and eventually everything crumbles down to its natural levels. The US will be the last, due to tenacious lawyers and complex tax codes.
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Posted by: SarsSmarz on November 12, 2003 05:11 AMIf you looked at any industry where things hadn't changed for 30 years, they would be next (I remember looking at a factory 30 years ago, where one person's job was just to put a single piece of metal in a stamping machine all day). For the general office worker, things haven't changed since the 50's! MS enjoyed the typical boom, where every single desktop had to have a computer, much like every stagecoach trail had to have a railway. Right now, Dilbert shows there is considerable over-capacity in the desktop biz.
Bureaucracy cannot change from within, and luckily for the 'general knowledge worker', MS didn't add a scrap of productivity, but change is coming. It will start with whole countries, such as Finland, streamlining legal requirements, and eventually everything crumbles down to its natural levels. The US will be the last, due to tenacious lawyers and complex tax codes.
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