Linux.com

This is a battle over before it started.

Posted by: Anonymous Coward on January 20, 2004 12:16 PM
The battle won't be between microsoft's SQL and MySQL. The battle is already over. GNU/Linux, including MySQL/Postgres and GNU/Linux in general taking on SQL is already over. Microsoft is seeing anemic growth in market share as SCO and Sun tumble. GNU/Linux and MySQL are seeing incredible growth in market share, from a much smaller installed base.



Going forward, microsoft growth is going to stall starting with profits, then revenue, costs will rise, margins will fall. It is starting to show up in their quarterly reports already. They'll still be able to shuffle money around to fix the numbers for a while, but it won't last. In the meantime,they gave a little taste to the market, then will cover up with increased sales with a stronger market, so that the next time they need to show a little weakness, they can dismiss it like this past and current quarters.



MySQL, and Postgres aren't competing with SQL. The company that is going to feel real pain, ala SCO/Sun is Oracle. MySQL/Postgres are already taking market share from Oracle. Going forward, watch and compare growth rates between Oracle and MySQL/Postgres. That's where the real fireworks are going to be. And watch how fast and how far Oracle pricing falls.

#

Return to Database deathmatch?