How will the company manage to support them? Good question. Dan Kusnetzky, IDC's vice president of system software research, isn't sure HP can pull it off.
Kusnetzky says, "They have two world class Unix offerings with different levels of strength in two areas. Both are the products of at least one decade, if not two, of hard work to enhance them in different ways." And, they've gone in different directions. For example, both HP-UX and Tru64 "have strong clustering enhancements but there are two ways to approach clustering, and HP-UX has taken the share nothing road, while DEC/Compaq with Tru64 took the shared everything route."
On one level, he continues, "they can't afford to keep both, but the installed base has said that if they kill our Unix we'll walk away." And, he adds, it hard to walk away from HP-UX with its 12% of shipping Unix or Tru64 with its 4%."
Mike Wardley, HP-UX marketing manager, agrees and says that's why HP isn't walking from either. Instead, Wardley explains, "what we're trying to do is to deliver on all of HP and Compaq's OS promises made prior to the Compaq merger all the way out to 2005. Ultimately, HP-UX will be our Unix offering and at some stage Tru64 will go away." But, even then, Wardley adds, "while the last set of enhancements to Tru64 will be made in 2004/2005 we plan on supporting it out to 2011." Why? "Because that's what our customers want and we have a very customer-centric approach."
He may be right to take that approach. In talking with three Tru64 Unix administrators not a one of them would consider switching over to HP- UX today. As loyal as any Linux fan to his favorite distribution, these administrators simply won't walk away from their mainstay operating system.
Kusnetzky adds: "HP has a wonderful plan, but from a financial analyst viewpoint, you're saying that you're going to manage to keep both of them. They can say that they plan to do it, but which one will get the funding when the finances are cut? Will they support two badly or let one slide?" He expects that "Tru64 revenue stream will be smaller and HP will put money where the market is. That translates into money to HP-UX."
While both systems will get full support, new changes are in both systems' future. Beginning in 2003, HP will start migrating Tru64 features to HP-UX. By 2004, TruCluster is supposed to be running on HP-UX and a complete migration tool set for moving from Tru64 to HP- UX should be in place.
At the same time, HP plans on moving Tru64 from the ever-so-dying Alpha chip family to Intel's Itanium 2 processors. This will give die- hard Tru64 users a hardware platform to operate from even as time slowly brings the curtain down on aging Alpha servers. Even so, HP executives think most Tru64 customers will still wait until 2007 to move. HP is doing its best to insure that the move is to HP-UX 11i v3 and not, say, .NET Server or IBM's AIX.
At the same time, both operating systems will be getting Linux affinities to enable administrators to compile and run Linux- compatible source code. Eventually, by 2005, HP-UX will be able to run Linux binaries.
This is part of a broader trend, which Kusnetzky likes to call the real unification of Unix to Linux. Wardley agrees to an extent, but while any Linux application will eventually run on HP-UX, he still sees a place for HP-UX.
According to Wardley, "Linux will take over file/print world period, and Microsoft may be the losers to Linux." But without the fancy features of high-end enterprise computing such as self-tuning, Linux will stay separate from HP-UX, he predicts. He foresees HP-UX on the high-end with Linux on the low end and edge servers.
And what about OpenVMS? Mike Balma, Linux business strategist for HP, says, "OpenVMS will also be moved over to Itanium 2 and that will extend VMS' life until at least 2006." It may be longer. HP is continuing to push OpenVMS 7.3-1 with new minor releases throughout the rest of year and beyond for both the Alpha and VMS platforms.
Still, while it may be hard for HP to support so many systems, as Kusnetzky says, "it's a grand plan, and it will be wonderful if they can do it, but I'm not sure the reality of budgets will make it impossible for them to do it all." That said, HP is determined to try.
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HP & Mandrake & UnitedLinux
Posted by: Anonymous Coward on August 19, 2002 09:28 PMBy the way, when you write that the main flavours of Linux are Debian, Red Hat and... UnitedLinux, that makes me laugh!
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