October 29, 2009

linux market share 7.3%!

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####################################
# Linux Install Base Approximation #
# October 28 2009 #
####################################

*16 million fedora installs number from jef spaleta "giving accurate fedora
client counting the 115% effort it deserves"
*H.P.D. from distrowatch for last 6 months
*all the distros from top to gentoo included because gentoo by my guess is the
smallest major distro
*the installs column is the percent of fedoras H.P.D (hits per day) of the
distro's H.P.D times fedoras installs. assuming that the page hits represent
how much more or less popular the bistro is than fedora and that popularity is
representative of the distros install base
*from my experience most linux boxes were sold as windows boxes so im using the
1 billion number from microsoft as the total number of PCs divided by the
the Linux install base to get Linux market share http://arstechnica.com/micros
oft/news/2007/07/windows-install-base-to-break-one-billion-in-2008.ars

DISTRO H.P.D H.P.D/1618 INSTALLS
+---------+-----+----------+----------+
|fedora |1618 |1 |16,000,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|ubuntu |2067 |1.3 |20,800,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|mint |1313 |.8 |12,800,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|opensuse |1249 |.8 |12,800,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|mandriva |944 |.6 | 9,600,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|debian |897 |.6 | 9,600,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|puppy |806 |.5 | 8,000,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|sabayon |773 |.5 | 8,000,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|pclinuxos|700 |.4 | 6,400,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|arch |678 |.4 | 6,400,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|slackware|632 |.4 | 6,400,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|centos |592 |.4 | 6,400,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|tinycore |467 |.3 | 4,800,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|mepis |453 |.3 | 4,800,000|
|---------+-----+----------+----------|
|gentoo |417 |.3 | 4,800,000|
+---------+-----+----------+----------+

LINUX INSTALL BASE: 137,600,000
LINUX MARKET SHARE: 7.3%!!!1!1!!!!!1!!!

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aka metacon

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